The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat’s .500 ATS win percentage (14-14-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Hawks’ .419 mark (13-18-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
• Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 23.1% of the time. That’s less often than Miami covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
• Miami and its opponents have exceeded the total 53.6% of the time this season (15 out of 28). That’s less often than Atlanta and its opponents have (20 out of 31).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season, higher than the .364 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ offense, which ranks eighth in the league with 117.2 points per game, has fared better than their fourth-worst defense (119.5 points allowed per game).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 boards per game this season (17th-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by grabbing 46 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been racking up assists in 2024-25, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.7 dimes per game.
• Atlanta is fifth-best in the NBA with 15.9 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fourth-worst in the league by averaging 15.8 turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks rank 20th in the NBA with 12.6 treys per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 18th with a 35.1% shooting percentage from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat put up 111.3 points per game and allow 108.6, ranking them 19th in the NBA offensively and sixth defensively.
• Miami is 19th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• This season the Heat are ranked 14th in the NBA in assists at 25.6 per game.
• Miami is the fourth-best team in the league in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• The Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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