Monday’s contest that pits the Southern Jaguars (15-8, 10-0 SWAC) versus the Alabama State Hornets (9-14, 5-5 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a projected final score of 75-71 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Southern, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on February 10.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against Southern. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 141.5 over/under.

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Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Southern -3.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Southern -160, Alabama State +132

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Southern vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Southern 75, Alabama State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Southern has a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama State, who is 6-15-0 ATS. The Jaguars have an 8-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Hornets have a record of 10-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams combine to score 150.8 points per game, 9.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Southern is 5-5 against the spread and 10-0 overall while Alabama State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Southern Performance Insights

• The Jaguars outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game (scoring 76.6 points per game to rank 113th in college basketball while allowing 69.3 per contest to rank 102nd in college basketball) and have a +169 scoring differential overall.
• Southern is 65th in college basketball at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 30 its opponents average.
• Southern makes 7 three-pointers per game (254th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.7 on average.
• The Jaguars average 95 points per 100 possessions on offense (201st in college basketball), and allow 85.9 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
• Southern has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (264th in college basketball action), 2.9 fewer than the 15.1 it forces on average (11th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 2.6 points per game, with a -60 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.2 points per game (189th in college basketball), and allow 76.8 per outing (312th in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 5.5 boards on average. It records 31 rebounds per game, 254th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 36.5.
• Alabama State makes 9 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Alabama State wins the turnover battle by three per game, committing 8.8 (seventh in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.8.

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