Saturday’s contest at H.O. Clemmons Arena has the Alabama State Hornets (10-14, 6-5 SWAC) taking on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-20, 1-10 SWAC) at 6:30 PM ET on February 15. Our computer prediction projects a 81-74 victory for Alabama State, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The over/under has been set at 158.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Pine Bluff, Arkansas
• Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena
• Line: Alabama State -8.5
• Point total: 158.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -500, UAPB +360

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 81, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Alabama State’s record against the spread this season is 7-15-0, and UAPB’s is 9-13-0. The Hornets have an 11-11-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Golden Lions have a record of 14-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 148.3 points per game combined, 10.2 less than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State is 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its past 10 games, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets average 74.5 points per game (171st in college basketball) while allowing 77 per contest (311th in college basketball). They have a -59 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 2.5 points per game.
• Alabama State grabs 31.1 rebounds per game (247th in college basketball) while conceding 36.9 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 5.8 boards per game.
• Alabama State connects on 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball), 1.1 more than its opponents (8).
• The Hornets rank 248th in college basketball by averaging 93.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 284th in college basketball, allowing 96.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State wins the turnover battle by 2.8 per game, committing 8.8 (ninth in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.6.

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions have been outscored by 14 points per game (posting 73.8 points per game, 196th in college basketball, while allowing 87.8 per outing, 364th in college basketball) and have a -336 scoring differential.
• UAPB loses the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It collects 30.4 rebounds per game, 284th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 35.7.
• UAPB makes 7.5 three-pointers per game (198th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents.
• UAPB has committed 14.3 turnovers per game (352nd in college basketball), 2.5 more than the 11.8 it forces (152nd in college basketball).

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