Saturday’s game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-7, 10-3 Sun Belt) and the Troy Trojans (16-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) at First National Bank Arena has a projected final score of 74-69 based on our computer prediction, with Arkansas State coming out on top. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (5.5) versus Arkansas State. The two teams are expected to fall short of the 144.5 over/under.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -5.5
• Point total: 144.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -230, Troy +188

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 74, Troy 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (144.5)

Arkansas State’s record against the spread so far this season is 15-10-0, and Troy’s is 13-10-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Red Wolves are 11-14-0 and the Trojans are 8-15-0. The teams combine to score 152.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Arkansas State is 9-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Troy has gone 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves outscore opponents by 9.5 points per game (scoring 79.3 points per game to rank 61st in college basketball while allowing 69.8 per contest to rank 117th in college basketball) and have a +248 scoring differential overall.
• Arkansas State averages 37.3 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) while allowing 34.8 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.5 boards per game.
• Arkansas State knocks down 9.2 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball), 2.9 more than its opponents (6.3).
• The Red Wolves rank 148th in college basketball by averaging 96.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 26th in college basketball, allowing 85.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Arkansas State has committed 2.5 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.8 (43rd in college basketball action) while forcing 12.3 (116th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +199 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.9 points per game (218th in college basketball) while giving up 65.0 per outing (27th in college basketball).
• Troy grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball) while allowing 28.1 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.6 boards per game.
• Troy connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) at a 30.0% rate (341st in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 its opponents make, shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc.
• Troy forces 13.5 turnovers per game (45th in college basketball) while committing 13.6 (337th in college basketball).

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