Monday’s game that pits the Alabama State Hornets (11-14, 7-5 SWAC) against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-22, 1-11 SWAC) at Harrison HPER Complex is expected to be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 78-65 in favor of Alabama State, who is heavily favored by our model. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on February 17.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the spread (18.5) versus Alabama State. The two teams are projected to exceed the 138.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Itta Bena, Mississippi
• Venue: Harrison HPER Complex
• Line: Alabama State -18.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -3448, Mississippi Valley State +1280

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 78, Mississippi Valley State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+18.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Alabama State has put together an 8-15-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi Valley State is 9-14-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 11-12-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams score 128.3 points per game combined, 10.2 less than this matchup’s total. Alabama State is 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its past 10 games, while Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 1.9 points per game (scoring 74.5 points per game to rank 175th in college basketball while allowing 76.4 per outing to rank 305th in college basketball) and have a -47 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama State records 31.7 rebounds per game (203rd in college basketball) while conceding 36.8 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 5.1 boards per game.
• Alabama State makes 9.1 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 32.9% rate (245th in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 34.5% from deep.
• The Hornets average 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (254th in college basketball), and give up 95.5 points per 100 possessions (257th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 8.8 per game (10th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.8 (147th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils have a -719 scoring differential, falling short by 28.7 points per game. They’re putting up 53.8 points per game, 364th in college basketball, and are giving up 82.5 per contest to rank 357th in college basketball.
• Mississippi Valley State pulls down 24.4 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball) while allowing 33.5 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 9.1 boards per game.
• Mississippi Valley State hits 4.0 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball) at a 27.2% rate (362nd in college basketball), compared to the 9.0 per outing its opponents make, shooting 37.8% from deep.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 5.2 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 15.4 (362nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.2 (294th in college basketball).

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