NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 4:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) will look to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena as just 1.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

Our computer predictions for Monday’s game can assist you in making an informed wager taking advantage of the best bets available.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • Trae Young’s 24.2 points per game average is 4.3 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
  • In 53 games this season with a points prop total, Young has gone over the total 27 times.
  • The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring team (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth defensively in terms of points conceded per game (110.9).
  • Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • Tyler Herro is averaging 24.2 points in the 2024-25 season, 2.3 lower than Monday’s over/under.
  • Herro has hit the over on his points prop on 29 occasions this season (in 53 games with such a prop).
  • Miami’s squad is currently the 24th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th in points conceded (119.6 per game).
  • Miami has put together a 9-4 record when it scores more than 119.6 points.

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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Atlanta has covered the spread 27 times in 57 games.
  • Against the spread, Miami is 25-30-0 this season.
  • The Hawks have an ATS record of 5-15 as 1.5-point favorites or greater.
  • Against the spread as 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Heat are 10-15.

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Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • The Hawks’ 57 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 230.5 points 36 times.
  • The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 230.5 points in 21 of 55 games this season.
  • Atlanta’s matchups this year have an average total of 234.7, 4.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • The average total for Miami’s games this season is 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The Heat are the league’s 27th-highest scoring team this season compared to the seventh-ranked Hawks.
  • This outing features the league’s third-ranked (Heat) and 29th-ranked (Hawks) scoring defenses.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • The Hawks have won nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Heat have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (33.3%) in those games.
  • This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This year, Miami has won six of 21 games when listed as at least +100 or better on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.

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