Tuesday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (18-10, 11-5 Sun Belt) versus the Texas State Bobcats (15-14, 8-8 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 73-70 in favor of Troy. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on February 25.

According to our computer prediction, Texas State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 2.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 141.5 total.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Texas State +108

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Texas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy has a 15-11-0 record against the spread this season compared to Texas State, who is 13-14-0 ATS. The Trojans have a 10-16-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Bobcats have a record of 16-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 149.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Texas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 73.1 points per game (211th in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per outing (25th in college basketball). They have a +214 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.7 points per game.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It is recording 34.8 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.7 per contest.
• Troy hits 7.9 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7 on average.
• The Trojans rank 228th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th in college basketball defensively with 84.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy forces 13.2 turnovers per game (50th in college basketball) while committing 13.4 (336th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +92 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) and give up 72.9 per outing (212th in college basketball).
• Texas State records 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) while conceding 29.1 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
• Texas State makes 1.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.1 (332nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5.
• Texas State has committed 11.4 turnovers per game (199th in college basketball) while forcing 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

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