Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 8:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Miami Heat (26-30) are at home in Southeast Division play against the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Heat have covered less often than the Hawks this year, sporting an ATS record of 25-31-0, as opposed to the 28-30-0 record of the Hawks.
  • Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (59.5%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the total in 2024-25, Atlanta and its opponents are more successful (56.9% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (53.6%).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season, better than the .447 winning percentage for the Hawks as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 109.7 points per game on offense, the Heat are 24th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they give up 110.7 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
  • Miami is 17th in the NBA with 44.1 rebounds per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 25th with 45.7 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Heat are putting up 25.9 dimes per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Miami is averaging 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in league). It is forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • This season, the Heat are making 13.8 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.6% (17th-ranked) from downtown.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the league offensively (116.7 points scored per game) and fourth-worst defensively (119 points conceded).
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45.1 per game) and 19th in rebounds conceded (44.7).
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • Atlanta is the fifth-worst squad in the NBA in turnovers per game (15) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are 15th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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